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Nick Neve's avatar

Great read man! Packed with value

Sebastian Wilgosz's avatar

Thank you, took a lot of effort from me. But the good thing is that it now serves as endless fuel for valuable notes!

Nick Neve's avatar

I’ve been trying to do nothing with my investments for a bit now. And stuff like this keeps showing up. I’m closer than I’ve ever been to just holding and forgetting. Harder than I thought..

Sebastian Wilgosz's avatar

My approach is different. I analyse market to find out better timings to buy, just do it for long period of time.

I wait for panic, recesion, frustration, and most of pointers to match good times to buy.

But then, for months or even years I don't tpuch anything

Nick Neve's avatar

Curious. what’s your analysis for the market this year?

Sebastian Wilgosz's avatar

I am preparing cash for "black friday"

Nick Neve's avatar

does that mean buy in November? Lol. I know no one can time the market, but how much a decline do you think is left?

Sebastian Wilgosz's avatar

Ach. I thought I could do one-line reply and repost as a note, bat that doesn't work in articles comments 😭

Longer response:

I anticipate S&P drop due to all the signs in the world pointing towards upcoming recession.

If thay happens, crypto market will go down even further.

Currently the only cheap assets I am familiar with are USD & Bitcoin, but I anticipate USD getting stronger which my dump Bitcoin price even more.

I am just collecting cash to buy underpriced assets later in the year.

My predictions are focusing around BTC because I see biggest potential there for the next few years.

That being said, even though I plan to buy more BTC I am not hurra-optimistic, and expect that if the crisis will be harsh, we may barely reach ATH in next cycle.

I started preparation for this late 2025 by exiting from most of my investments, leaving only half of owned bitcoin.

Currently just keeping my hands tight and doing nothing, spending the time of stagnation on building business.

Yeah. That's it for the sake of comment length.

What are your views on this?

What markets are you focusing on?